Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.003171 0.003476 0.003801 0.004174 0.004591 0.005044 0.005575
2026-01-04 0.002676 0.003107 0.003600 0.004208 0.004941 0.005802 0.006896
2026-01-11 0.002344 0.002828 0.003406 0.004154 0.005104 0.006283 0.007874
2026-01-18 0.002111 0.002625 0.003261 0.004116 0.005251 0.006723 0.008813
2026-01-25 0.001923 0.002451 0.003125 0.004062 0.005351 0.007092 0.009674
2026-02-01 0.001792 0.002336 0.003050 0.004072 0.005526 0.007563 0.010711
2026-02-08 0.001661 0.002207 0.002941 0.004021 0.005601 0.007890 0.011562
2026-02-15 0.001539 0.002080 0.002824 0.003942 0.005624 0.008133 0.012300
2026-02-22 0.001463 0.002011 0.002779 0.003962 0.005790 0.008599 0.013432
2026-03-01 0.001418 0.001982 0.002789 0.004060 0.006079 0.009279 0.014988
2026-03-08 0.001334 0.001890 0.002698 0.003998 0.006107 0.009537 0.015846
2026-03-15 0.001254 0.001799 0.002605 0.003922 0.006105 0.009740 0.016625
2026-03-22 0.001186 0.001725 0.002535 0.003885 0.006174 0.010090 0.017750
2026-03-29 0.001139 0.001680 0.002508 0.003916 0.006365 0.010673 0.019405
2026-04-05 0.001078 0.001610 0.002436 0.003866 0.006407 0.010992 0.020581
2026-04-12 0.001026 0.001550 0.002376 0.003832 0.006472 0.011356 0.021893
2026-04-19 0.000975 0.001489 0.002311 0.003782 0.006503 0.011657 0.023109
2026-04-26 0.000940 0.001451 0.002281 0.003792 0.006644 0.012182 0.024886
2026-05-03 0.000896 0.001398 0.002221 0.003744 0.006671 0.012481 0.026194
2026-05-10 0.000852 0.001340 0.002151 0.003671 0.006643 0.012663 0.027253
2026-05-17 0.000826 0.001312 0.002131 0.003690 0.006796 0.013238 0.029343
2026-05-24 0.000813 0.001307 0.002149 0.003781 0.007102 0.014174 0.032487
2026-05-31 0.000778 0.001260 0.002092 0.003723 0.007096 0.014420 0.033888